Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights

It's a winner-take-all Game 7 showdown! Vegas has the fifth-best defense in the playoffs allowing 2.33 goals per game along with the fourth-best save percentage (.926). They shut out Dallas in Game 6, 2-0. During the regular season, they were 12th in goals allowed (2.96 per game) and 11th in save percentage (.907). They're on a 12-8 run winning twice as an underdog with four of the losses by just one goal. Play Vegas as a Max Play.

Lack of offense and stupid penalties have turned a 2-0 advantage into a 3-2 deficit for Vegas and now it faces two elimination games at home. Logan Thompson has done his part for the Golden Knights as he owns a 2.35 goals-against average and a .921 save percentage so far in the postseason, but now he needs a little more help from his teammates. The OVER is 5-1 in the Knights' past six games after they scored two goals or fewer their previous game and they are 4-1-1 OVER against teams that allowed two or fewer. All five games have been close affairs and Vegas getting a goal-and-a half at home is the best bet in this situation. The Knights had won six straight outright at home before Games 3 and 4. Take the Golden Knights on the puckline and the OVER as a Max Play.

Dallas is going home after winning Games 3 and 4 on the road and that could be a bad thing for the Stars, who have won 10 of their past 11 road games and are 7-5 their past 12 home contests, including losing the first two games of this series. Vegas is getting huge line value by the oddsmaker even though it has won five of its past six games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Logan Thompson has kept the Golden Knights in the game while his skaters have struggled to score. Thompson had 46 saves through overtime in Game 3 and he stopped 31 of 34 shots in Game 4. The Knights obviously have experience in these situations as they are the defending Stanley Cup champs and they beat the Stars in the conference final in six games after losing Games 4 and 5 last year. Take the Golden Knights as a Max Play. 

Dallas has new life after Wyatt Johnston scored at 16:23 of overtime to give the Stars a 3-2 win while cutting the series deficit to 2-1. Dallas has struggled to score thus far, putting in just 2.3 goals per game in the playoffs and 2.4 per game over their last five games. Vegas is 27-15 at home, scoring 3.3 per game. Dating back to last season, the Knights are 62-41 vs. winning teams and 54-23 when revenging a loss including 25-9 after a 1-goal loss and 14-5 after an overtime loss. This season they are 16-8 vs. teams at .600 or better.  Vegas has gone OVER four in a row after scoring two or fewer goals its previous game.. Both teams had plenty of scoring opportunities on Saturday. Take the Golden Knights and the OVER as a Max Play.

Dallas is hoping for a letdown by Vegas after the Golden Knights took the first two games on the road. Obviously, the Stars also will have to be better especially on the offensive side and they won eight of their final nine regular season road games. Dallas is 8-2 UNDER its past 10 games and goalie Jake Oettinger won seven of his last eight games of the regular season. The Stars are 5-1 after scoring two or fewer goals their previous game and they have gone UNDER seven straight Saturday games. Dallas is 8-2 UNDER against the Western Conference and the UNDER is 5-1-1 in the Golden Knights past seven games against teams with .600 winning percentages. The Stars have allowed only 2.10 goals their past 10 games. Take the Stars as a Max Play and the UNDER.