Utah at Boston

Two of the best defensive teams in the NBA meet, both Top 10 in points allowed. The Celtics are 24-12 at home this season and best in the league on the defensive end of the court. Over the past five NBA seasons, when home teams with great defenses like Boston's (teams allowing 104 or fewer points per game) face a good defense like Utah's (teams allowing 104-108 per game), the home squad wins at a 68% clip (83-39). The Jazz struggle vs. elite competition, as they are just 4-11 straight-up this season vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 3+ points per game. Utah is on an 8-2-1 run UNDER the total ranked ninth in points surrendered, eighth in field goal defense, ninth at defending beyond the arc. Utah is also 19-7-1 UNDER the total playing on one day of rest. Boston has home court No. 1 in the league in points and field goal shooting allowed. The Celtics are 32-21 UNDER the total as a favorite, including 25-10 UNDER as chalk of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Take Boston to win this game and grab the UNDER.