Dallas at Los Angeles

These two are headed back to Los Angeles for Game 5, tied with two wins apiece, and Dallas will be playing its sixth road game over the last nine contests. The Mavericks have been one of the worst teams defensively in the playoffs in points surrendered and field goal shooting allowed (44%). You need both if you want to win on the road in the playoffs. And the offense has cooled off, averaging 96.6 points over the last six games. Dallas is on a 12-4 run UNDER the total and is 29-17 UNDER versus winning teams. Los Angeles is playing its sixth home contest over the last eight games. They're on an 8-4 run UNDER the total, along with a 51-34 run UNDER at home, plus 10-2 UNDER when working with two days of rest. The Clippers have won five of the last seven meetings between these teams, with the wagering value on the home team to win a defensive game. Play Los Angeles on the moneyline, and take this game to stay UNDER the total.