Cleveland at Indiana

The Indiana Pacers have gone through a lot of injuries this season. Their running game was stalled, but is healthy again and they are back to fast-paced offense. After a nine-game stretch of scoring just 93.3 points per game, the Pacers have come back offensively to average 104 ppg in their last 16 - a full 11 points more efficient. The Cavaliers aren't much for running, but when they get up against the weaker teams that are under .500, they rev it up, producing a 5-1 mark to the OVER in that situation when the total is set at over 200. Overall they are 10-3-1 to the OVER in their last 14 vs. a team with a losing record. The Pacers sport a 7-1-1 OVER mark in their last nine as a home dog. I like this one to follow suit and go OVER the total.