Washington at Houston

Washington is a big dog but a respectable 14-19 on the road. Starter MacKenzie Gore has a 3.92 ERA on the road where he's holding batters to a .228 average. Christian Javier (7-1) starts for Houston and the Nationals have won five of the last seven interleague games versus a righty starter. They're also 11-5 against a starting pitcher who walks 1.75 or fewer batters, and are 5-0 versus starters with a winning percentage of .800 or better. Houston is on a 4-6 run losing losing three of those as chalk. They're 29-25 against teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.70+ and Washington has won 12 of their last 15 in this park. Play Washington.