Toronto at Baltimore

Toronto finished a seven-game homestand then went on the road to Camden Yards yesterday and lost 11-6 as a favorite. This is the second of a nine-game road trek. Joe Berrios has a 2.37 ERA at home but a 4.40 ERA on the road. The Blue Jays are 5-16 versus the AL East, plus 6-13 against AL teams that average 4.9+ runs. Baltimore is 21-12 at home and plays its fifth consecutive home game. They've won five in a row by a 37-15 count ranking seventh in the majors in runs scored and slugging. Starter Kyle Bradish throws better at home with a 3.74 ERA in Camden Yards and the Baltimore bullpen is sixth in ERA (3.41) and second in strikeouts. The Orioles are 28-13 against an AL opponent with a team batting average of .265 or less and 29-19 versus teams with bullpen WHIPs of 1.350 or better. Play Baltimore.