St. Louis at Atlanta

Last place St. Louis got the win for us yesterday, but they're still on a 6-12 slide. The offense is 17th in runs scored, while the pitching is just 23rd in ERA (4.71), 27th in WHIP, and 22nd in the pen (4.67 ERA). Starter Dakota Hudson has a 5.40 ERA on the road where home teams are batting .290 off him. The Cardinals are 16-29 against NL squads averaging 4.5+ runs, plus 4-17 after a win by four or more runs. First place Atlanta is on a 20-7 run outscoring opponents by +235 runs, the best run differential in all of baseball. The Atlanta offense is No. 1 in runs scored, slugging, and on-base percentage, while the pitching is fifth in ERA (3.83) and second in the bullpen (3.48 ERA). Spencer Strider (3.56 ERA) has been an ace all season with Atlanta 22-5 in his starts. And the Braves are 21-4 versus an NL starter with a WHIP of 1.250 or better, plus 13-1 at home after a loss by four or more runs. Play Atlanta.