Miami at St. Louis

Miami has a losing road record and winds up a six-game trek. They've lost all five games on the trip getting outscored 27-17. The offense has slumped to 23rd in runs scored, 15th in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging. Sandy Alcantara (4.64 ERA) has a 4.80 ERA on the road and the Marlins are 51-94 after scoring 2 runs or fewer. St. Louis plays its fifth consecutive home contest on a 7-2 run. St. Louis is 11th in runs scored and 17th in steals, plus seventh in on-base percentage and slugging. Dakota Hudson (1.80 ERA) gets the nod and in 2022 he had a 2.84 ERA at home. With the Cardinals 25-9 when Hudson goes at home, this is a good situational and matchup spot for the home team. Play St. Louis.