Miami at Pittsburgh

Miami plays its fourth straight road game with an offense that is 26th in runs scored, plus 19th in slugging and on-base percentage, while the pitching is 16th in ERA (4.24) and WHIP, and 20th in the bullpen (4.37 ERA). Starter J.T. Chargois has a 5.40 ERA on the road where batters are hitting .279 off him. Miami is favored but 47-61 versus NL teams with a batting average of .250 or worse. Pittsburgh is on a 6-5 run winning all six as underdogs of +140, +180, +155, +135, +115, and +230. The Pirates are 18-16 as a home underdog of +125 or higher, so back home field. Play Pittsburgh.