Baltimore at Houston

First-place Baltimore has a Top 10 pitching staff (4.01 ERA), including second in the bullpen (3.52 ERA), while the offense is sixth in runs scored and ninth in slugging. John Means is back after a long rehab with one start under his belt (5 hits, 5 innings, no walks). Last season, he had a 3.38 ERA and in 2021 he had a 3.62 ERA in 26 starts. The Orioles are an underdog but have the best record in the American League and are on a 48-26 run on the road, as well as 41-32 as an underdog. Houston has lost four of six, including as chalk of -290, -183, and -315. The Astros are 1-2 in the last three starts made by 40-year-old Justin Verlander, who has allowed 13 runs in those 20 innings, losing 6-2 to the Yankees as -180 chalk and 6-2 to Oakland as a -315 favorite. The Astros are 13-22 as a home favorite of -150 or less, plus 8-14 after a blowout win by 6 or more runs. Play Baltimore.