Baltimore at Cincinnati

Baltimore continues to overachieve, winning five of nine after taking two of three from Tampa Bay. They've won 14 of 20, and their last eight victories have all been by more than one run. Cincinnati is 16th in runs scored, 21st in on-base percentage, 23rd in slugging, and the pitching staff is dead last in team ERA (5.17). The Reds blew a ninth-inning lead in a 7-6 loss to Miami as a favorite yesterday, and today's starter, Mike Minor, has a 6.75 ERA at home. The Reds have lost his last six starts by a combined 41-17 score, so look for a one-sided win by the visitors. Play Baltimore on the runline.