Atlanta at Miami

Here we are again with the Braves. This team has gone just 16-33 on the road, winning less than once every three times out and they are the favorite? We certainly don't see any value in that. The fact is that the Braves have been a favorite on the road 28 times and have produced a 9-19 mark as a road favorite. It is pretty odd to see a team winning on the road less than once every three games a favorite 28 times. It must be the Tim Hudson factor right? WRONG! The Braves are 3-9 in Hudson’s 12 road starts, which is actually a lower winning percentage than they have in all other road games combined. Ricky Nolasco has matched Hudson win-for-win with 10, and the Marlins have won 11 of his last 14 starts. There is lots of value on the Marlins here and we will ride them as a home dog.