Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #3 (SOPHIE ANTOINETTE) (5-1) - Kentucky invader broke her maiden at this distance for a $75K tag May 23 at Churchill Downs. 3yo followed that up with an even effort at Ellis Park July 6 and runs today off a private trainer change to Jon Wong (28% with new arrivals in 2018-19). As an out of town shipper filly is eligible for a sizable bonus in this spot. I give her a slight edge at a square price.
2nd pick: #7 (Khariya) (5-2) - The morning line and probable favorite, she's another eligible for the big bonus for horses shipping in. Competitive in four straight starts, speed/stalker missed by just under a length going 8.5 furlongs on the Churchill grass May 31. A win candidate, she should be involved every step.
3rd pick: #1 (Muthhila) (6-1) - Irish import is dropping into a claimer for the first time. She has early speed, is breaking from the rail, and she's a threat at a square price.
4th pick: #5 (Creative Romance) (12-1) - A lightly raced 3yo, she's trying the grass for the first time. She's been competitive in three of four starts going around two-turns, is bred to handle the turf, and is an interesting longshot.