Miami Ohio at Ball State

Miami of Ohio went 10-6 in the regular season the last two years. They got off to a poor start in 2021 because of a brutal September schedule, including a trip to the Big 10, a 31-26 loss at Minnesota as a +18 dog, and also having to face undefeated Cincinnati. However, they've turned things around since with a 28-17 win and cover over Central Michigan, a one-point loss to Eastern Michigan, and a 34-21 win over Akron. Miami Ohio is 35-20 ATS as an underdog, 17-7 ATS in MAC games, plus 12-3 ATS after allowing 280+ yards passing in their last game. The RedHawks are also 27-10 straight up against MAC schools, the best record in the conference during that span. Ball State is favored here, but the ground game averages just 3.5 yards per rush while the defense is #84 in the country in points allowed (29.7) and #86 versus the run (163 yards allowed per contest). Ball State is on a 10-19 spread run at home and 14-28 ATS at home against losing teams. Play Miami Ohio.