Hawaii at Utah State

This Aggies team is definitely on the improve, having served notice last week. They went to Fresno State and scored with :38 seconds left to take a 28-27 lead, only to watch a 58 yard FG go through the goal posts to keep them out of the win column. Hawaii still has the aura of the high-scoring machines they were under June Jones, but this year's version has been held to 17 or less in half of their games! They have been outscored on the road by 25 ppg against some quality competition. It's no wonder this team does bad on the road - they have made seven long-haul flights over the past seven weeks! They returned just four starts each on offense and defense from last season and clearly aren't a shell of what they were and laying seven here is too much. The Aggies have been blown out themselves vs. top competition, but they have been an effective team at home where they have covered in each of their last three. I still think there is some spillover value in the line, from Hawaii's past success, and I will take the home dog getting a full touchdown here.