UL Monroe at New Orleans

The Warhawks have been going to war on the road with pop-guns. They have managed just one win in 12 tries. Once again we gain the value of a team that doesn’t win, but lines their backers with gold. The Warhawks, despite their losing ways, have been 8-4 ATS which includes covering four of their last six on the road. The Privateers have recorded three freebies in the win column against non-D1 schools, so they are a bit over-valued with inflated win column. The truth reads 7-13 against Division 1 opponents. That might help to explain their inability to cover as a small favorite of from 1-6.5 where they are just 1-6 ATS. The numbers tell the wrong story, but looking inside them paints a different picture, so Louisiana-Monroe gets the call here.