Kentucky at Louisville

Kentucky is 11-3 and have won six straight and 11 of 12. And they are facing a team that has lost two of their last three. Yet the Wildcatsare given little chance in this one. I beg to differ and I think they will come out with a chip on their shoulder. It is true that Kentucky has played just one true road game this season - a 19 point loss. But that came at the hands of an NBA-caliber team in North Carolina. They played neutral-court games vs. Kansas State, West Virginia and Appalachian State, winning all three both SU and ATS. The combination of Jodie Meeks (who poured in 46 on App State and is averaging 24.1 ppg) and Patrick Patterson (a ridiculous 72.2% from the field and 30 blocks thus far) will cause trouble for the Cardinals. Louisville is coming off a loss as a 14-point favorite and the Cardinals are just 6-18 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite in their last 24. This line, based on the high expectations for Pitino's team, is too high given the realities of the season thus far.