Washington at Philadelphia

Cliff Lee has developed a reputation that puts the oddsmakers in a bad place. He has pitched very well for the past two years, but  like any other pitcher, he hits the wall and loses his way. Right now that is where Cliff Lee is. Since his second start of the season, Lee has had only allowed more than four runs just once. Suddenly he has now allowed 5+ in each of his last three starts. His ERA is 9.60 in those starts and he has allowed 29 hits in 14 innings - obviously struggling right now, so the line offered here gets juiced while Lee struggles. One of those last three games was against this same Washington team that pounded him for five runs in seven innings and 10 hits. Lee still has good numbers for the season, but he has allowed more hits than innings pitched. The Nats are the play here on the runline.