Washington at Chicago

Most thought that the Cubs had assembled a team for the significant future. And after breaking through and winning it all last year, this team just has not had the same look and feel to it. They have not had the type of season out of a lot of their starting rotation, and the wins have not come as easily. They also miss having Chapman come out of the pen, and putting away games. Jake Arrietta gets the ball, but after the Cubs went 22-13 in his 2016 starts they are a pedestrian 16-14 this season. He went from seeing his games yield 3.74 opponent runs, to 4.60 this season, almost a full run per game more. The numbers at home are worse at 4.8 runs per game, and 70% of those have topped the total. Ironically, Washington starter Tanner Roark is a mirror image of Arrietta. His starts yielded a 22-13 mark a year ago, and is 16-14 this year matching Arrietta. He went from opponents scoring 3.44 runs per contest in his starts to 4.63 this year. This one looks like a lot more runs will be had to a low total, and an even pitching matchup. This is a good spot for both Washington on the runline and the OVER.