Valparaiso at Georgia Southern

Valpo won 23 games last year and Georgia Southern won just 5. Granted, the Crusaders lost a 9-point decision in their opener vs. Arizona, and they lost three starters from last year's team, but this team is more than 3.5 points better than Georgia Southern. Valpo performed admirably in the desert, covering a big 14.5 point spread. Over the past three seasons, the Crusaders are 14-3 ATS  when coming off a road loss and 23-9 ATS after a game in which they were an underdog (including 8-1 ATS when they were a road dog). The Eagles are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games and 6-21 ATS in their last 27 as an underdog of up to 6.5 points. Take Valpo here.