This pick was released to clients on August 21, 2012 at 5:25PM ET.
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UTEP at Toledo

December 21, 2005
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Toledo -3 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN

This is the first interesting match-up of the bowl season, as Toledo once again goes bowling. Toledo has not fared well in bowl games of late, losing big to UCONN last season and BC the season before. Here, they get a UTEP team that lost their final two regular season games as large favorites to UAB and SMU. So instead of playing in the Conference USA Championship game, where they thought they should be, they are left here in the GMAC bowl. That likely means they won't be as fired up as their opponent. The Rockets ended the season ranked #1 in both scoring offense and defense in the MAC. Toledo ended the season by beating Bowling Green 44-41 in the MAC championship game and the Rockets are 11-1 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons. They are also 7-2 in bowl games. I seriously question the motivation of Price’s team in this one. Of course, last year their QB was not healthy, but this year he is. One star on Toledo minus the points here.

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