USC at Arizona State

No we haven't gone mad! We like Arizona State here despite them losing 15 in a row and sporting a winless Pac-10 record. Yes, USC just beat Oregon and is coming off a big win at Arizona. I guess we can start off by saying we had Arizona State in their last game at home to UCLA. They led that game 49-41 midway through the second half, but fell at the end yet still got the cover. The most notable part of that game is the six point loss, was the largest margin of defeat they have suffered in their last five games, and two of those were on the road, one at Oregon. There is value on this team right now as demonstrated by 70% of the public jumping on the visiting Trojans here. It is hard for an odds-maker to not pad a point-spread for a team that is winless in their last 15 games so their is no question which side holds the value. The past 11 games, Arizona State is 0-11 SU but is 7-4 ATS! That speaks volume for the value losing gives to investing on a poor team. Yes, they are poor in record, but have been improving steadily. Take a look. They lost to 23-3 UCLA by 6points, 22-4 Washington State by 1, 20-7 Oregon by 5 at home, and 4 on the road. USC is coming off of three consecutive huge games vs UCLA, Oregon, and an upset win at Arizona just two nights ago. We will back the barking home dog in this one.