This pick was released to clients on July 15, 2012 at 3:39PM ET.
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UCLA at Oregon State

January 4, 2007
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Oregon State +12 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS

There is never any value playing on a #1 ranked undefeated team. What you have to do is find a spot where they could get caught napping, and this is an excellent place for that to occur. UCLA is off a big game with Washington, and next up on Saturday is a match-up with 13-0 Oregon. This becomes one of those sandwich games, where you have a live home dog, that will be gunning for a team that may not be emotionally, and mentally into the game. There is also a good track record for Oregon St. to pull off surprises anyway. This year they stayed within 7 of LSU and got the money, and also lost to Oregon by just 3 and got the money. Last year Arizona came in here as a 9 point favorite and left with a 10 point loss! Washington came in here the year before as an 8.5 point favorite and a 20-3 record and left with a 90-73 loss! This is a lot of points to be giving a home dog, that has shown a big bite, especially sandwiched between 2 big games for UCLA. Oregon St. is a perfect 5-0 ATS as a +8.5 home dog or more since February of '04! Take the dog here!

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