UCLA at California

Both teams have had disappointing seasons, however, at least UCLA has had some semblance of a defense at #57 in the country in scoring defense and #37 in yards allowed. California is #127 (out of 128 teams) allowing 541.8 yards per game and last in scoring defense giving up 45.5 points per contest.  The Bears have lost four in a row while surrendering an average of 53 points including their rivalry game against Stanford last week. California also did not cover the spread during that span in spite of getting double digits each game. Davis Webb was 34-of-57 for 393 yards and two touchdowns against the Cardinal, but it was all for naught as Cal was still outgained 555-483, including Stanford's 357 rushing yards. UCLA has won the last three meetings, including 40-24 last year as a 3.5-point favorite. Bruins quarterback Mike Fafaul was 15-of-31 for 181 yards and two touchdowns against USC last week and has been an adequate replacement for injured Josh Rosen. California is 0-5 ATS its last five November games and 10-22 ATS its last 32 home games. Take the Bruins.