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2011 Season WNBA Basketball Past Picks

September 08, 2011

08

Tulsa at Phoenix

Thursday 09/08 10:00 PM Eastern

2 units on Tulsa +16 (-110) (risk 2 to return 2)  RESULT: win

4 units on Game Total OVER 169.5 -110 (risk 4 to return 4)  RESULT: loss

The Tulsa Shock have enjoyed very little success since their move from Detroit last year, as this team enters tonight's game with just nine wins in the two seasons in Tulsa. This one looks overpriced as the Shock were getting just two more points vs. the best team in the WNBA when they played at Minnesota, and have since won two games. These teams have shown to rack-up the points when facing each other. Since late June the Shock have reached 74 points or more just four times, but half of those four were vs. Phoenix, and last year went for 84+ in all four matchups. The Shock are 2-1 ATS this season getting 15 or more points. Phoenix has shown a proclivity to lack of success when facing teams in the West, just 3-8 ATS in their last 11, and an even worse 0-4 ATS in their last four off extended rest (three days or more), as they rely on shooting. The rest has also been a double-edged sword as their pace increases, with 29 of the last 42 topping the total off 3+ days of rest. Play the OVER and take Tulsa and the points.

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