Toronto at Buffalo

Buffalo has lost four straigh and four straight at home. The biggest culprit is Martin Biron, who is stopping just 81.7% of SOG at home this season. The Sabres are allowing division opponents a 27.6% power play conversion percentage. Toronto is converting 30.4% PP on the road so look for that to be a factor tonight. Toronto is scoring 4.2 goals per game on the road while Buffalo is allowing 5 per game over their last five. Home teams after allowing 3 goals or more 5 straight games facing an opponent after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games are 11-26 (30%) since 1996. On the flip side, road teams at -100 to -150 after 4 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two average teams (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) are 22-4 (85%) since 1996. One star on the Maple Leafs.