Toronto at Buffalo

Both of these teams score alot which is why we see a 6.5 figure here. But Toronto's weak defense has steadied of late (giving up 2.8 per game over last five vs. 3.4 on the season) and Buffalo's offense has cooled (2.8 per game vs. 3.9 average). The Sabres are 31-19 UNDER at home the past two season vs. high scoring teams like Toronto (those averaging 2.9+ goals per game). They also tend to drop in scoring and increase the defensive effort as the year progresses. They are 20-10 UNDER at home during second-half of season play the past two seasons. We'll go UNDER this lofty total here.