Toronto at Baltimore

Last place Toronto continues to struggle because of a lack of pitching, 26th in baseball in team ERA at 4.59. They have lost seven in a row. It doesn't get any better on the mound with Henderson Alvarez (7-11, 4.84 ERA), who is 0-3 with a 7.88 ERA his last three starts. The Blue Jays are 18-38 in their last 56 games as an underdog and 17-36 in their last 53 road games. Matched up against a quality team and forget it: The Blue Jays are 8-20 in their last 28 against a team with a winning record. Baltimore has a winning record both home and away and goes with reliable Chris Tillman (6-2, 3.71 ERA), a guy who has walked only 15 in 51 innings and has allowed fewer hits than innings pitched. The Orioles are 8-2 in their last ten games as a home favorite and 9-4 in Tillman's last 13 home starts. And the Blue Jays are 0-5 in the last five meetings in Camden Yards. Play the Orioles.