Sure the Jayhawks are 15-1 and get Texas at home. But this spread is too big. Texas has shown an ability to play well vs. very good teams while Kansas has actually struggled this season against very good opposition. The Long Horns are 5-1 ATS versus very good teams (outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game) this season while the Jayhawks are just 1-6 ATS in home games vs. winning teams this season. Also, Kansas is 6-16 ATS versus very good defensive teams (shooting pct defense of <=39%) over the last 3 seasons. The public is overreacting to Kansas at home on a Saturday night. Take Texas plus the points for one star.
This pick was released to clients on September 27, 2012 at 6:09PM ET.
CBB
Texas at Kansas
January 29, 2005
9:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Texas +8.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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