Texas at Iowa State

The last four meetings have not only gone UNDER, but they have stayed UNDER by an average of nearly 29 points, including Texas beating the Cyclones 24-10 with a posted total of 49.5 last season. There's a huge total for this one again even though the Longhorns held off Kansas State last week and the game went UNDER. The Cyclones are coming off a heartbreaking loss at Oklahoma after a misguided decision to go for a two-point conversion when it wasn't needed and they had all the momentum. Texas held Kansas State to 51 yards rushing on 2.0 yards per carry.  The UNDER is 7-0-1 in Iowa State's last eight games after it scored at least 40 points its previous game and Texas is 22-8 UNDER its last 30 November games. Also, the Cyclones are 19-9-2 UNDER their last 30 games overall and 15-5-1 UNDER their last 21 after an ATS win. Once again we have an inflated total in this matchup so go with the UNDER.