Tampa Bay at Seattle

I guess the question here is if a good pitcher is able to overcome the performance of a bad team? Well, the first place we looked was to see how Hernandez fared against winning teams, and his ERA is almost a full run higher than his overall ERA. It stands at 3.95 against teams over .500, and the Mariners are just a .500 team in his home starts, so does that merit them a solid favorite here? We don't believe so, especially since the Rays are 15-7 in Sonnanstine's 22 starts. The Rays had their bad stretch losing seven straight, and have more than recovered and to win their last three. We like the value with them in this one and riding them here as dog.