Tampa Bay at Philadelphia

So when is Philadelphia going to bust out offensively? Oh, they just did in a 5-3 win over Carolina. This will be their second straight home game, part of a four-game home stand, and they will score plenty again tonight against a Tampa Bay defense that takes many nights off, ranked No. 15 in goals allowed after being supremely awful a year ago. The Lightning is 2-5 in their last seven road games and 0-5 in their last five road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. When these teams meet, the home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings. Of the eight games played by wide-open Tampa Bay this season, only two have been decided by one goal and the last four between these teams have been decided by more than a goal, so take the Flyers on the puckline.