Tampa Bay at Los Angeles

The Angels have knocked out 10 wins in their last 11 games, averaging 6.3 runs per game over the stretch. Their offense, absent most of the first half of the season, has been reborn behind Vlad Guerror. In July he's hitting .405. Bartolo Colon is just 1-4 this season but that's primarily due to LA's lack of offense which shouldn't be an issue today vs. Casey Fossum (6.65 road ERA). Tampa is awful on the road (17-32) and they are averaging just 2.7 runs per game over their last seven. Home favorites of -175 to -250 batting .265 or worse on the season after a win by 4 runs or more are 65-11 (86%) over the past decade. Angels should coast through this one.