2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 17, 2015
Tampa Bay at St. Louis
Thursday 12/17 08:25 PM Eastern
1 unit on Tampa Bay +1.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: loss
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 41 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93) RESULT: win
St. Louis is home, but is struggling. At least they have some offense, scoring 21 points last game. RB Todd Gurley busted out for 140 yards and two touchdowns on 16 carries last week. Gurley has had eight rushing TDs in his last eight contests, and is second in NFL history to Eric Dickerson (seven) for the most games of at least 125 rushing yards by a rookie with five. This game is indoors, which helps the offenses, and Tampa Bay is in town with an offense ranked #16 in points scored (22.2 points per game) and #11 in yards. RB Doug Martin ranks second in the league with 1,214 rushing yards and third in the NFC with 1,413 yards from scrimmage. Tampa Bay has a nice QB advantage this game and the Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS when following a straight-up loss, as well as 9-1 ATS when following a spread loss. The Buccaneers will be motivated for this one after not having qualified for the postseason since 2007, but are now just two games off the pace in the NFC Wild Card race. Tampa Bay is the underdog and the dog is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Take the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the OVER.