This pick was released to clients on July 25, 2012 at 5:33PM ET.
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St. Louis at Dallas

January 1, 2006
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Game Total OVER 43.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS

In what will be the final 2005 regular season game, the Cowboys are instilled as huge favorites over the troubled Rams. I've bashed the Rams here enough so I won't go into it too much. Their defense is so bad that they could give up 3/4ths of this total to Dallas. The Rams are ranked near the very bottom of the barrel in almost every key defensive category and they play just terrible on the road, giving up 31 points per game. Their offense however performs about average on the road, scoring 22 per game. The Cowboys found some offense last week and I think they carry that momentum into this game as Julius Jones and Marion Barber go off. Bledsoe, when not pressured, can pick you apart. If Carolina or Washington losses earlier, the Boys will be in the playoffs with a win. Even if they aren't playing for a spot, I think they score a lot here. Why rest players when you have no following game? Jamie Martin is back for St. Louis and he gives them the best chance to score points. The Rams know they have NO defense so their offense will just air it out here as they have no reason to hold back. Dallas is 18-3 OVER at home vs. good passing teams (61%+ completion) since 1992. This is a turf game which means lots of Rams points. Two stars on the OVER here.

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