St. Louis at Cincinnati

Joel Pineiro started his career in Seattle at 37-18, and looked like he was going to become a great pitcher. He is now with his 3rd team in 3 years, and has amassed a record of 30-43, with an ERA of over 5. It just isn't the year for Bronson Arroyo, who is struggling to keep his ERA under 6. Both these pitchers have shown an over trend when the line is in this area, and we will not buck that trend, and play this one over the posted total.