South Florida at Louisville

Louisville is one of the strongest teams in the nation, sitting at 21-4. How can lowly South Florida hang here? Look ahead. The Cardinals have a huge game vs. #7 Cincinnati on deck in four days and I think that affects their ability to cover this huge number. Louisville beat USF 86-47 on the road in the first match, so how can they take things seriously here? Meanwhile, the Bulls have reason to show up. They want to avoid another embarrassment and they are trying to avoid a season-high four game losing streak. The Bulls have actually played better on the road this year than at home. They score less, but play better defense and their record is better, both SU and ATS, when on the road. In Louisville, Rick Pitino owns a losing ATS record at home after a game as a home favorite. He's also 23-34 ATS after scoring 75+ points in three straight games. And, he's just 28-42 ATS at home after four straight games as a favorite. Letdown here - play South Florida.