Seattle at Toronto

Toronto has blasted the Seattle Mariners here the last two nights, exploding for 24 runs in two easy wins. They hit Felix Hernandez hard as he could not make it out of the fifth inning, allowing 8 earned runs. That will not likely be the case for game three of this series. Remember that Toronto had scored all of 18 runs in their previous seven games, at 2.6 a contest, and Seattle has the third best team ERA from starters in baseball, along with the best bullpen. The Mariners are 85-64 to the UNDER on the season, and after playing two games OVER the total, they have come back to play 17-9 to the UNDER in their next game, with an average of 7 runs total being scored. Toronto will also send Mark Buehrle to the mound who has made a career out of pitching at home, especially in the role of a favorite. Buehrle owns a 104-49 mark in 153 starts as a home favorite. He is 16-7 in this role since coming over to Toronto. The Mariners' offense has also been getting stuffed of late by left-handed pitching as the M's are just 1-5 in their last six against a lefty, and they have played to a 23-7-2 mark to the UNDER in their last 32 games vs. a left-handed starter. Seattle is just 15-36 here in their last 51 games, and are not in a good spot for this one. Take Toronto and the UNDER.