img HORSE

SARATOGA Race #11

July 30, 2016
img6:55 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #10 (DOUBLE DOSE) (4-1) - Daughter of 'Flatter,' stretches out in distance after finishing second at this level going six-furlongs on the Belmont grass June 22. A career best, it came second back from an eight month layoff. Trainer Todd Pletcher wins at a 26% rate on the distance stretch and at a 22% clip when adding blinkers.

2nd pick: #2 (Antebellum) (9-2) - Speedy filly has been competitive in three straight racing at this $40K claiming price. In shape, working above average, her trainer (Kiaran Mclaughlin) has won with an incredible 7 of 10 starters so far at this premier meet.

3rd pick: #4 (Newcomb) (8-1) - Nicely-bred filly ships up from Maryland where she tired facing tougher June 9. The probable main speed, she's from a good barn (Tom Proctor) and he's dropping her into a claimer for the first time. That's a strong 35% winning move by the trainer.

4th pick: #1 (Smile Big) (3-1) - Freshened up since May 29, speed/stalker drops in class and switches from dirt to turf. From the barn of Chad Brown, filly has the rail and is dropping to a new low.

5th pick: #3 (Rain in Spain) (15-1) - Longshot has been sharp in two straight at this tag racing at Belmont. Fits on figures and 3-year-old has a flexible running style. May grab a share at a big price.

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