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2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 04, 2007

04

San Fransisco at Atlanta

Sunday 11/04 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Game Total UNDER 37 -110  RESULT: win

The result of this game may have more impact on the 2008 draft than for either of these teams in 2007. In this game, if you're taking a side, you may just have to decide which you like the least as opposed to the most. We don't have an opinion on the side, but we do like the total. The Niners are about as bad an offensive team as we have seen in the NFL in years. They are ranked dead last in the league in yards per game, are averaging 12.6 points per game, and have managed to find the endzone just five times in the last five weeks. What is more amazing is the fact that in three of the five games they found it in the last four minutes. That means in "real" game situations they have managed just two TDs in 280 minutes of football. Atlanta can't be considered much better, and perhaps even worse. They are getting 13.6 per game and have managed three touchdowns in the last three games. One was a 67 yard run and another was a 56 yard fumble recovery, so the offense has sustained exactly one drive in 180 minutes of football. These teams have combined to produce 26 points per game of offense between them, and less if you negate TDs not scored by the offense. It is no wonder that the Falcons have played UNDER in 13 of their last 16, and the Niners have played 9 of their last 13 UNDER when an underdog. Atlanta is 16-6 UNDER the past two seasons at home including 8-1 UNDER as a favorite. We like this game to be painful to watch and low scoring, so we will grab the UNDER.


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