San Francisco at St. Louis

The San Francisco Giants rode a great pitching performance by Ryan Vogelsong to upend the St. Louis Cardinals 2-0 last night. The Cardinals started the season nearly invincible at home at 29-7 through their first 36 home games, but have since become rather pedestrian here at 16-12 over their last 28. Tonight the pitching matchup, on paper at least, heavily favors St. Louis to bounce back, but the Cardinals also find themselves in a very poor historical situation that has produced a 17.8% ROI situation on San Francisco. The Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 facing an opponent that scored 2 or fewer runs in their last game, while the Cards have been brutal behind Garcia in closing game three of a series, as they are 4-12 in his last 16 starts in this spot. Make the play on San Francisco.