San Francisco at Chicago

Jon Lester is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA at home this season after going 10-2 with a 1.74 ERA at Wrigley Field in 2016. Chicago is 27-11-3 UNDER in Lester's last 41 home starts and these teams are 4-0-2 UNDER the last six meetings at Chicago. Johnny Cueto gave up a run on five hits in seven innings against the Cubs last season and Chicago hitters are batting a collective .217 against him. Cueto has had quality starts in three of his last five outings and has allowed more than three earned runs just twice his last eight starts. Cueto has a 3.24 ERA against the Cubs in his career and 3.07 at Wrigley Field. Lester has not allowed more than three earned runs his last 21 starts at home. Play the UNDER.