San Diego at Arizona

San Diego averages 3.7 runs per game, 3.8 against LHP and 3.7 per game on grass fields. They are 5-2 UNDER the past seven games and 21-12 UNDER in division games. Arizona scores at a much better clip, but they are also 5-2 UNDER the past seven games, averaging 3.9 runs per game. The D-Backs are 16-4 UNDER the past decade against teams that average under 3.9 runs per game in mid-to-late season play. While Randy Johnson has struggled this year, he will not vs. this Pads offense. This season, San Diego is 11-2 UNDER after 5+ straight road games. We like this one to stay low.