San Antonio at Indiana

The Indiana Pacers have been a tough team at home against the top teams. They have already beaten nine teams with winning records at home, and lost to four others by just two points and another in overtime. The Spurs have a losing record on the road over their last 11 at 5-6 and overall, they have covered just two of their last nine. The Pacers are 10-1-1 against the spread at home vs. teams with a winning road record. The Spurs have covered just one of their last nine as a favorite. They are also just 8-20-2 ATS when they allow 95 points or more, and the Pacers have failed to reach 95 at home just four times this season. The Giant killer strikes again, and I will go with Indiana here.