Samford at Morehead State

Samford has gone 6-0 UNDER on the road and 10-2 UNDER overall. Morehead State is 8-5 UNDER overall. So, we can see why this total is set low. But this is an overreaction - too low. Morehead is 2-1 OVER at home, where they actually score. They score 73.6 per game here vs. just 56.7 on the road. Their defense is average. Samford has very little offense and plays good defense. But, Moorehead is very good at home and they will find a way to score. The Eagles are 11-4 OVER in their last 15 following a win. The pendulum has swung and despite the stats, there is now value on the OVER here with these teams.