Portland at Miami

Portland has had their struggles this season but over their last six games they have lost ATS just once. I believe they are a bit undervalued right now in the line. Miami has been bad at home, going 6-9 ATS. And they have allowed six of their last eight opponents to score 100 or more. Portland (18 three-point attempts per game) is the kind of team that Miami struggles against. The Heat are just 31-53 ATS the past three seasons vs. teams that hoist 18+ long-range shots per game. They are also 41-58 ATS overall at home the past three seasons including 16-29 ATS off a home win. Portland should keep this close.