Portland at Detroit

Portland is off to a great start at 11-6 and they are doing it on defense. On the season, they are holding opponents to 93.5 points per game and over the past five games, it has dropped to 88.4. Detroit of course is winning too. And as usual, this is a defense-first team, especially in games against formidable foes. This total is low, but I expect the game to come in under it as I expect an intense defensive-laden game. Even dating back to last season, the Trailblazers are 31-19 UNDER when facing a winning team (including 27-11 UNDER against teams at .600 or better). Detroit is 34-20 UNDER against winning teams over the same span. During that time, they are 20-5 UNDER against teams that outrebound their opponents by 3+ per game (Portland is outrebounding opponents 49-45 on average). Finally, under coach McMillan, the T-Blazers are 15-3 UNDER after back-to-back 100+ point games.