Pittsburgh at Kansas City

Pittsburgh is a talented team with a winning record, off a bad game, getting blown out at home by Jacksonville. This team is well coached and in bounce-back mode. Their only other defeat was at Chicago, 23-17, and they bounced back the next week and crushed Baltimore on the road, 26-9. Pittsburgh has a winning road record (2-1) and is 22-8-2 ATS away against a team with a winning home record, plus 13-6 ATS after a defeat. There is plenty of offensive talent and the team is 7-3 OVER the total after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous game. In addition, road teams that suffered an upset loss as a home favorite in the first half of the season go 84-42 OVER the total that next contest. Kansas City is flying high and is unbeaten, but the Steelers are 39-20 ATS against teams with a winning percentage of 75% or better. Kansas City is 3-7 ATS after allowing 350+ total yards in their previous game, as well as 3-14 ATS after gaining six or more yards per play in three consecutive games, so back the talented dog in an offensive show. Play Pittsburgh and the OVER.