2016 Season NFL Football Past Picks
January 15, 2017
Pittsburgh at Kansas City
Sunday 01/15 01:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 44 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: WIN
The Kansas City Chiefs have used some smoke and mirrors this season, managing to pull off a tremendous 12-4 campaign. Why smoke and mirrors? They were actually out-gained from the line of scrimmage by 26 yards per game. Perhaps the most telling stat of all shows the bend-but-don't-break defense the Chiefs have been all season, especially at home. They finished their schedule with opponents generating one point for every 23.2 yards gained at home, good for the best number in the league. The Pittsburgh Steelers closed the season with seven straight wins, and the reason is in the defense. Through Week 10, the Steelers allowed 22.9 points per game and three opponents topped the 30-point mark. But from Week 11 on, they allowed 16.6 ppg, and no team reached 30. Pittsburgh’s offense was very pedestrian this season on the road, scoring just 21.6 points per game. Kansas City averaged 23.9 per game at home, while holding opponents to just 15.7 per game in this building. Dating back to last season, the Steelers are 16-7 UNDER when facing a good quarterback (those averaging over 60% completions). And, as head man of the Chiefs, Andy Reid is 20-7 UNDER as a home favorite. I think the outcome of this game is going to be determined on the defensive side of the football. Take the UNDER in this game.