Pittsburgh at Jacksonville

What happens when you win the game with a banged up team, and don't cover the spread? The public turns against you and the value becomes yours. Lots of money was washed down the drain last week on the Steelers and now the Jags are getting it all with over three fourths of all bets riding on them in this game. David Garrard had a magnificent season last year, but up until the soft offense of Houston last week, has he resembled the QB of two years ago. In 2007, he threw just three interceptions. He has already eclipsed that mark this season in just four games. He now faces another tough and rugged defense. Last week Garrard thrived vs. a Houston defense that has totaled just three sacks. The Steelers have 15 and will present a whole different set of problems. Unlike the Texans, the Steelers can stop the run without eight in the box, so that will make things even more difficult for the Jags. The Steelers also come into this one quite motivated. They remember the Jags playoff win last year that knocked them out in the first round. Not only will Pittsburgh have the motivation, but they have the better team. So getting over a field goal represents solid value. While Jackonsville is 2-2, they are 5 points away from being 0-4. Let's not give them too much credit just yet.